TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$31,986

4.86% or above

 - Kalshi

4.86% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.86% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,852
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.98% or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,562
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5% or above

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.46% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.94% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$898
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.04% or above

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.9% or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.88% or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
$649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.96% or above

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
$181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.92% or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.84% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$557
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.7% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.48% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.72% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.02% or above

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.82% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.78% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.8% or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.68% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.74% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.54% or above

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.58% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.52% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.56% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.5% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key interest rate benchmark, reflecting expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy over the specified period. The outcome depends on whether the yield reaches or exceeds certain thresholds, offering insight into future financial market sentiment and policy directions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the par yield of the 7Y U.S. Treasury as of October 19, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct level above which the yield must trade for the corresponding market to resolve positively. All markets share a common expiration timeline, closing at the earlier of two specified times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for October 19, 2026, or one week after that date. This structure allows participants to bet on various yield levels while ensuring uniform timing for resolution across all thresholds.