TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

4.71% or above

 - Kalshi

4.71% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:22h:47m

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Nov 6, 2026?

93%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 93¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.71% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.73% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.75% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.77% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.79% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.81% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.83% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.85% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.87% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.89% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.91% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.93% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.95% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.97% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
kalshi

4.99% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 22h 47m
Active
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key financial indicator, reflecting investor expectations about interest rates and economic conditions over a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether the yield for a commonly traded U.S. government security surpasses various thresholds, offering multiple perspectives on potential rate movements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the par yield of the 7-year U.S. Treasury note as of November 6, 2026, with each market requiring the yield to exceed a specific threshold ranging from 4.70% to 4.98%. If the actual yield on that date is above the designated threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical expiration timing rules: they close at the earlier of two possible times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the relevant yield data for November 6, 2026, or one week after November 6, 2026. This structure creates a series of binary outcomes that collectively map a spectrum of possible yield levels for the same security on the same valuation date.