TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$2,688

4.84% or above

 - Kalshi

4.84% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.84% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.82% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$535
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.8% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.66% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.78% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.68% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.86% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

4.88% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

4.9% or above

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

4.7% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.72% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.74% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.76% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.92% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.94% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market offers a unique perspective on how high interest rates might climb, reflecting varied investor expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy decisions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the par yield of the 5-year U.S. Treasury as of October 26, 2026. Each individual market has a specific yield threshold; if the actual yield exceeds that threshold, the market settles 'Yes.' Expiration occurs at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for that date, or one week after October 26, 2026. All markets share these uniform expiration rules, ensuring consistent timing across the entire set regardless of the specific yield level being tracked.