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$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

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$1,902,097,102

417,059

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40,178

events

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4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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5Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

5Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

4.66% or above

 - Kalshi

4.66% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:20h:09m

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026?

77%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 77¢ buys you 130 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $130 | Net Profit: $30 Multiplier: 1.30x | ROI: 30% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.66% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.68% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.7% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.72% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.74% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.76% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.78% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.8% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.82% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.84% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.86% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.88% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
14¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.9% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.92% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
kalshi

4.94% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 20h 9m
Active
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield by setting different threshold levels for a specific date. Each market offers a unique perspective on how high interest rates might climb, reflecting varied investor expectations about economic conditions and monetary policy decisions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury exceeds a specific threshold on November 6, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.65% to 4.93%. If the actual yield on that date is above the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for November 6, 2026, or one week after November 6, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration rule, ensuring consistency across the series while allowing participants to assess various yield levels.