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416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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4,571

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5

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VS.

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30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$24,036

5.46% or above

 - Kalshi

5.46% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.46% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,019
N/A
N/A
$3,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.48% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,463
N/A
N/A
$2,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.62% or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,341
N/A
N/A
$992
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.5% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,253
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.64% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.58% or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.56% or above

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
$643
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.66% or above

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.6% or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.54% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.52% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.74% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,800
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

5.7% or above

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,861
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

5.68% or above

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
kalshi

5.72% or above

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the yield of 30-year Treasury bonds. The outcome depends on whether the yield reaches or exceeds certain thresholds on a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates, economic growth, and inflation over the long term.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each with a distinct threshold for the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield on October 5, 2026. For any given market to resolve to 'Yes,' the par yield must exceed a specific percentage threshold, which varies across markets. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after October 5, 2026. This structure allows participants to bet on different yield levels, with each market resolving based on its unique threshold while adhering to the same expiration rules.