TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$5,707

5.41% or above

 - Kalshi

5.41% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.41% or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.35% or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.37% or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.47% or above

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.33% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.43% or above

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.39% or above

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.45% or above

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.31% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.59% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

5.49% or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
$409
Settled
No
kalshi

5.51% or above

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.53% or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

5.55% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5.57% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the yield of 30-year Treasury bonds. The outcome depends on whether the yield reaches or exceeds certain thresholds on a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates, economic policy, and investor sentiment.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield on October 19, 2026. Each threshold represents a specific percentage level, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the published par yield exceeds the corresponding threshold for that market. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day after the yield data is released for October 19, 2026, or one week following that date. This structure allows participants to bet on various yield levels while ensuring resolution occurs promptly after official data becomes available.