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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

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4,612

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5

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VS.

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30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

5.16% or above

 - Kalshi

5.16% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:17h:17m

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Nov 6, 2026?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5.16% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
14¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.18% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.2% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.22% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.24% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.26% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.28% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.3% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.32% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.34% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.36% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.38% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.4% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.42% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
kalshi

5.44% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 17m
Active
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of long-term U.S. government debt, specifically focusing on the yield of 30-year Treasury bonds. The outcome depends on whether this key interest rate benchmark reaches or exceeds certain thresholds by a specific future date, reflecting expectations about economic policy and growth.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the par yield of the 30Y U.S. Treasury as of November 6, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: yields must exceed specific percentages ranging from 5.15% to 5.43% to resolve as 'Yes.' If the yield does not meet or exceed the respective threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' Expiration occurs at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for November 6, 2026, or one week after November 6, 2026. All markets share identical expiration rules, ensuring consistent timing across differing yield thresholds.