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412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

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5

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VS.

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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$13,356

4.66% or above

 - Kalshi

4.66% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.66% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,463
N/A
N/A
$2,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.7% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,578
N/A
N/A
$1,578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.68% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,488
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.82% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.78% or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$967
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.84% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.72% or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.8% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.74% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.76% or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.92% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$826
N/A
N/A
$363
Settled
No
kalshi

4.9% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
No
kalshi

4.86% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

4.94% or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$605
Settled
No
kalshi

4.88% or above

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of 2-year U.S. Treasury yields on a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates and economic conditions. Investors and analysts use such yield movements to gauge market sentiment regarding monetary policy and economic growth. The outcome depends purely on the yield level recorded at the specified time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on October 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 4.65% to 4.93%, with a 'Yes' outcome if the actual yield surpasses its respective threshold. Expiration occurs at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for October 5, 2026, or one week after October 5, 2026. The structure allows multiple markets to operate simultaneously, each testing a different yield level, thereby providing granular insight into market expectations around future interest rate movements.