TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 3:30 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

4.46% or above

 - Kalshi

4.46% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:16h:31m

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.45% on Nov 6, 2026?

93%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 93¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.46% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.48% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.5% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
14¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.52% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.54% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.56% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.58% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.6% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.62% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.64% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.66% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.68% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.7% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.72% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
kalshi

4.74% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 31m
Active
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the yield of two-year U.S. Treasury notes by setting various threshold levels. Each market assesses whether the yield surpasses a specific benchmark on a set date, offering a granular view of possible interest rate outcomes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the par yield of the 2-Year U.S. Treasury as of November 6, 2026. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 4.45% to 4.73%, with a 'Yes' outcome if the yield exceeds the respective threshold. Expiration occurs at the earlier of two times: either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day following the official release of the yield data for that date, or one week after November 6, 2026. All markets share these uniform expiration rules, ensuring consistency across the series while allowing participants to speculate on different yield levels.