TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 2:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
Currently, this market reflects trader sentiment that a few top contenders have varying probabilities of achieving the #2 spot. Analyst forecasts from tech research firms may differ, often emphasizing factors like marketing spend, user reviews, and seasonal trends. Comparing this market to those forecasts can reveal whether the trading crowd leans more optimistic or cautious about each app's chances as August approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Apple App Store charts will determine which app holds the #2 position for paid apps in the US on that day, settling all contracts accordingly.
Key signals include major app updates, high-profile marketing campaigns, user acquisition drives, and any sudden changes in consumer preferences or platform policies. Media coverage highlighting a specific app’s features or downloads can also shift trader sentiment. As we near August 21, any announcement about new releases or price changes in the competitive app space may cause rapid price swings in this market.