TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$66,054

4.83% or above

 - Kalshi

4.83% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,450
N/A
N/A
$9,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,298
N/A
N/A
$4,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,360
N/A
N/A
$3,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,060
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,000
N/A
N/A
$4,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,847
N/A
N/A
$3,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,673
N/A
N/A
$3,609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,379
N/A
N/A
$1,990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,658
N/A
N/A
$1,567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,300
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.05% or above

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,747
N/A
N/A
$3,830
Settled
No
kalshi

5.09% or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,005
N/A
N/A
$3,403
Settled
No
kalshi

5.01% or above

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,034
N/A
N/A
$1,374
Settled
No
kalshi

5.07% or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
$1,837
Settled
No
kalshi

5.03% or above

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,862
N/A
N/A
$1,124
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a key indicator in the U.S. debt market on a specific future date. It reflects expectations about interest rate movements influenced by economic policies and market conditions. Outcomes are determined by comparing the actual yield to various predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific threshold level of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield on October 26, 2026. For any given market, if the published par yield exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 4.80%, 4.82%, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share a common expiration timeline: they close at the earlier of two times—either 7:00 PM Eastern Time on the first business day after the yield data is released for October 26, 2026, or one week following that date. This structure allows participants to bet on whether the yield will surpass various incremental levels, offering granular insight into market expectations for interest rate movements.