TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$219,029,434

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2,984,028,936

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$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

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4,377

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5

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37%

VS.

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63%

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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$109,446

4.96% or above

 - Kalshi

4.96% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.96% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,280
N/A
N/A
$8,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.98% or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,065
N/A
N/A
$8,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.02% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,313
N/A
N/A
$6,716
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5% or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,741
N/A
N/A
$4,745
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.12% or above

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,548
N/A
N/A
$3,532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.06% or above

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,530
N/A
N/A
$3,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.08% or above

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,527
N/A
N/A
$1,882
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.1% or above

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,373
N/A
N/A
$2,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.14% or above

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,090
N/A
N/A
$1,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.04% or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,556
N/A
N/A
$2,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5.22% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,130
N/A
N/A
$3,499
Settled
No
kalshi

5.24% or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,002
N/A
N/A
$8,452
Settled
No
kalshi

5.18% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,251
N/A
N/A
$4,994
Settled
No
kalshi

5.2% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,882
N/A
N/A
$5,538
Settled
No
kalshi

5.16% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,157
N/A
N/A
$2,421
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at a specific future date, reflecting expectations about interest rates, economic policy, and investor sentiment. Each market offers a different threshold for the yield, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of rate changes.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the par yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury as of October 19, 2026, against progressively higher threshold levels. Each market has a specific yield threshold; if the actual yield exceeds that threshold on the specified date, the market settles 'Yes.' All markets share a common expiration timeline, closing at the earlier of two possible times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the official data release for October 19, 2026, or one week after October 19, 2026. This structure allows traders to assess varying degrees of yield movement, with each threshold representing a distinct level of market expectation regarding interest rate trends and broader economic conditions.