TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Volume:
$16,089

ChatGPT

 - Polymarket

ChatGPT - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Claude by Anthropic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google Gemini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Instants, an Instagram app

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether Google will hold the #1 free app position in the US Apple App Store on June 5, 2026. It displays the current implied probability, 24-hour volume in $10,181, and a price chart showing how trader sentiment has evolved since market inception. This single-venue view lets you monitor conviction levels and liquidity depth as the event date approaches, helping you assess both the consensus forecast and market activity intensity.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by checking the official US Apple App Store rankings on June 5, 2026, to confirm which app holds the #1 position in the free category. The outcome is binary: either Google achieves or maintains the top free app slot, or it does not. Market participants should monitor Apple's official App Store rankings and any official announcements from Apple regarding ranking methodology or changes to the free app category structure.

Major catalysts include new app launches from competitors, significant marketing campaigns or app updates from Google or rivals, changes in user download behavior tied to iOS updates or device releases, and seasonal trends in app adoption. Regulatory actions affecting app store policies, changes to Apple's ranking algorithm, or viral social media trends could shift download volumes dramatically. Additionally, economic conditions, smartphone penetration rates, and shifts in user preferences toward specific app categories (social, productivity, gaming) may influence which app captures the #1 free position by June 5.