TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC
Volume:
$80,088
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria but a critical structural divergence in market design.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with unified outcome logic, while Kalshi uses three independent YES/NO markets. Both reference the same match and resolution source, but market architecture differs fundamentally.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, treat the three markets as a single three-way outcome (exactly one YES). On Kalshi, verify that exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. If postponement occurs, Polymarket markets remain open; Kalshi lacks explicit postponement guidance. Monitor for cross-platform settlement timing differences.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Zhejiang Win YES/NO, Shanghai Win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES. Draw market has inverted cancellation logic: resolves YES if game canceled with no makeup. Resolution source: official CSL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves non-draw markets to NO and draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Three independent YES/NO markets (Tie YES/NO, Zhejiang Prof YES/NO, Shanghai Shenhua YES/NO) covering all possible outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Market architecture allows independent resolution but lacks clarity on edge case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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