TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC
polymarket
kalshi

Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC

Volume:
$80,088

Draw (Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 3:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,047
N/A
N/A
$962
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Shenhua FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shanghai Shenhua

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,449
N/A
N/A
$6,381
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhejiang Zhiye FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zhejiang Prof.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,660
N/A
N/A
$2,329
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria but a critical structural divergence in market design.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with unified outcome logic, while Kalshi uses three independent YES/NO markets. Both reference the same match and resolution source, but market architecture differs fundamentally.Hero tip: On Polymarket, treat the three markets as a single three-way outcome (exactly one YES). On Kalshi, verify that exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. If postponement occurs, Polymarket markets remain open; Kalshi lacks explicit postponement guidance. Monitor for cross-platform settlement timing differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Zhejiang Win YES/NO, Shanghai Win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES. Draw market has inverted cancellation logic: resolves YES if game canceled with no makeup. Resolution source: official CSL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves non-draw markets to NO and draw market to YES.
  • Kalshi: Three independent YES/NO markets (Tie YES/NO, Zhejiang Prof YES/NO, Shanghai Shenhua YES/NO) covering all possible outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Market architecture allows independent resolution but lacks clarity on edge case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.