TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.3b

24H VOL:

$178,872,365

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,640,545,998

469,304

Markets across

36,320

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,948

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mexico vs. Peru
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Mexico vs. Peru?

Volume:
$11,846,221

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 30, 2026

Closed: Sep 29, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,732,617
N/A
N/A
$823,748
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Mexico vs. Peru)

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$194,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
78%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$34,838
$48,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MEX

View
5%
63%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$3,785
$111,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mexico

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,370,060
N/A
N/A
$3,846,136
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

PER

View
1%
12%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,724
$31,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Peru

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,702,811
N/A
N/A
$1,335,050
Settled
No
polymarket

Peru

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the possibility of a draw in the FIFA International Friendly soccer match between Mexico and Peru, scheduled for September 29, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by FIFA (https://www.fifa.com). Keep an eye on the potential for game cancellation, as differing platform rules – specifically between Polymarket and Kalshi – could impact settlement, with the betting period closing on September 30, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's resolution logic doesn't address cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading on Kalshi, as markets may remain open or resolve based on a rescheduled game, unlike Polymarket which resolves to 'No'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'No'. Otherwise, resolution is based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation scenarios are not explicitly addressed, implying the market would remain open or resolve based on a rescheduled game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Mexico and Peru.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mexico vs Peru professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: Mexico win, Peru win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform's rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Mexico and Peru.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Mexico vs. Peru match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $11,846,221 and 24-hour volume of $10,529,620. By tracking these markets, we can see how traders are assessing the likelihood of different results in this upcoming contest. The dashboard provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and offering a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information, including potentially non-public insights. Furthermore, the continuous trading in prediction markets allows odds to adjust rapidly to new information, whereas sportsbook odds are typically updated less frequently. This dynamic pricing can make prediction markets a valuable complement to traditional sports betting.