TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for film box office revenue. While analysts typically rely on pre-release buzz, trailer views, and comparable film performance, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders reacting to a wider range of signals. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of marketing campaigns, critical reception, and even social media sentiment. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to breaking news than initial analyst predictions, providing an alternative gauge of potential success.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different potential box office outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing model that constantly updates based on new information and collective sentiment, offering a forward-looking view of the film's potential performance.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second weekend box office revenue for “You Can See Everything” is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on reported figures from established box office tracking services, ensuring an objective determination of the actual revenue generated. Traders will then be settled based on whether their purchased shares align with the final, verified revenue range. This provides a clear and transparent process for determining the market’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Critical reviews released after the initial screenings will likely have a substantial impact, as will any major social media trends or controversies surrounding the film. Unexpected news regarding competing releases could also shift expectations. Furthermore, early box office numbers from the first weekend will be a key indicator, and any adjustments to marketing strategies by the studio could influence trader sentiment. Tracking these factors will be crucial for understanding the fluctuations in this market.
