TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:55 AM EST
Kalshi
Fans speculate whether the combined runs scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds. The result hinges on the total number of runs accumulated during the game. Higher thresholds represent longer shots with potentially higher payouts.
This event includes four distinct markets for the Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game on September 22, 2026, each focusing on whether the total runs scored by both teams will exceed a specific threshold: over 5.5 runs, over 7.5 runs, over 9.5 runs, or over 11.5 runs. Each market resolves independently based on the combined final score. The thresholds increase across markets, affecting the likelihood of resolution. Kalshi states no official connection to the Japan NPB or participating teams.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the total runs scored. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different incentives and information sources.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored in the Yomiuri Giants versus Hiroshima Toyo Carp game will determine the result. The final score, as officially recorded by the league, will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual total runs scored. Traders will then be able to see the final settlement price and whether their contracts were profitable. The outcome will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Yomiuri Giants or the Hiroshima Toyo Carp could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain delays or cancellations, could also play a role. Additionally, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and any shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could impact trading activity and move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or changes in batting order could also cause fluctuations.