TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp?

Volume:
$9,631

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 9:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,195
N/A
N/A
$2,718
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$2,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,784
N/A
N/A
$1,648
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,659
N/A
N/A
$1,442
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in a scheduled match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of runs. The outcome reflects the competitive balance between the teams during the game.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different run-differential scenarios in a specific Japan NPB baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four distinct markets are considered, each corresponding to a particular run-margin threshold for either team’s victory. If Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima wins by more than 1.5 runs (regardless of meeting the 2.5-run threshold), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and the resolution depends solely on the actual run differential at the end of the game, without regard to other market outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader positioning. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical performance, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can shift rapidly with new information or sentiment. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value or divergence in expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after all regulation time, including any applicable extra innings or tie-breaking procedures, and will be reflected automatically once confirmed.