TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 9:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in a scheduled match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of runs. The outcome reflects the competitive balance between the teams during the game.
The event evaluates different run-differential scenarios in a specific Japan NPB baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four distinct markets are considered, each corresponding to a particular run-margin threshold for either team’s victory. If Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima wins by more than 1.5 runs (regardless of meeting the 2.5-run threshold), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and the resolution depends solely on the actual run differential at the end of the game, without regard to other market outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after all regulation time, including any applicable extra innings or tie-breaking procedures, and will be reflected automatically once confirmed.