TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points (159.5), and point spread (Butler -3.5) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same game, date, time, and final score as the settlement basis, with identical postponement and cancellation protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score (https://www.ncaa.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Xavier Musketeers win resolves to Xavier; Butler Bulldogs win resolves to Butler
- Over/Under 159.5: Combined score of 160+ resolves to Over; combined score below 160 resolves to Under
- Spread Butler -3.5: Butler wins by 4+ points resolves to Butler; all other outcomes resolve to Xavier
- All resolutions include overtime periods in final score calculation
- Postponed games remain open until completion on makeup date
- Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50 across all markets
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a makeup date. Resolution occurs based on the final score of the completed game.
- Cancellation without makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets (moneyline, over/under, spread) resolve 50-50.
- Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played. The combined total for over/under and the margin for spread calculations both include overtime scoring.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon completion of the game on February 21, 2026 (or makeup date if postponed). Final official NCAA score is the settlement trigger.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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