TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs
kalshi
polymarket

Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs

Volume:
$1,500,417

Butler

 - Kalshi

Butler - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Butler

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$812,372
N/A
N/A
$446,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xavier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$646,263
N/A
N/A
$368,362
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,771
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Xavier Musketeers vs. Butler Bulldogs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,072
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 159.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$939
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Butler Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points (159.5), and point spread (Butler -3.5) outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same game, date, time, and final score as the settlement basis, with identical postponement and cancellation protocols.Primary resolution logic: NCAA official final score (https://www.ncaa.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Xavier Musketeers win resolves to Xavier; Butler Bulldogs win resolves to Butler
  • Over/Under 159.5: Combined score of 160+ resolves to Over; combined score below 160 resolves to Under
  • Spread Butler -3.5: Butler wins by 4+ points resolves to Butler; all other outcomes resolve to Xavier
  • All resolutions include overtime periods in final score calculation
  • Postponed games remain open until completion on makeup date
  • Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50 across all markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a makeup date. Resolution occurs based on the final score of the completed game.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets (moneyline, over/under, spread) resolve 50-50.
  • Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played. The combined total for over/under and the margin for spread calculations both include overtime scoring.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon completion of the game on February 21, 2026 (or makeup date if postponed). Final official NCAA score is the settlement trigger.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.