TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Honoka Hashimoto and Fu Yu in a WTT event, scheduled for June 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hashimoto' if Honoka Hashimoto wins against Fu Yu. This market will resolve to 'Yu' if Fu Yu wins against Honoka Hashimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Honoka Hashimoto and Fu Yu in a WTT event, scheduled for June 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hashimoto' if Honoka Hashimoto wins against Fu Yu. This market will resolve to 'Yu' if Fu Yu wins against Honoka Hashimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent traders, which can sometimes reveal signals that traditional oddsmakers miss or adjust more slowly to new information. Comparing the two can highlight where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the match.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders. As new bets flow in, the market reprices instantly, ensuring that prices stay aligned with real-time sentiment. This continuous repricing mechanism makes Polymarket responsive to breaking news or shifting expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed by the tournament organizer and major sports news outlets. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized, ensuring all positions settle fairly based on the actual match result.
Several factors could shift odds before the match concludes. Injury reports or roster changes involving either player would likely trigger sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament momentum can all influence trader positioning. Media coverage highlighting one player's preparation or confidence may sway sentiment. Court conditions, scheduling delays, or unexpected withdrawals could also impact the market. Traders typically react quickly to any credible information that affects perceived match probability, so monitoring sports news and official announcements is essential for staying ahead of price movements.