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World Cup: Netherlands Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Netherlands Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$434,538

Round of 32

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:11 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,343
N/A
N/A
$26,489
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,035
N/A
N/A
$109,292
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,377
N/A
N/A
$17,334
Settled
No
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,281
N/A
N/A
$23,153
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,258
N/A
N/A
$23,831
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,633
N/A
N/A
$21,311
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,792
N/A
N/A
$21,101
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which the Netherlands is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they win the tournament. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets covering all possible elimination stages (Group Stage through Final) plus a championship outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket employ identical resolution logic: they resolve based on the specific stage at which Netherlands is eliminated or wins the tournament, with consistent handling of edge cases including disqualification, withdrawal, and tournament incompletion.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA sources (fifa.com); credible reporting consensus permitted as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to the specific elimination stage: Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, or Final
  • If Netherlands wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, market resolves to 'Champion' or 'Yes' (championship outcome)
  • If Netherlands is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution follows the furthest completed round reached based on official information
  • If tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution is based on the best available official information regarding Netherlands' furthest completed round
  • All elimination stages are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, markets resolve to 'Other' or equivalent non-standard outcome
  • Tournament Postponement: If tournament is postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to 'Other' or equivalent non-standard outcome
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Netherlands is disqualified or withdraws, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached per official FIFA information
  • Incomplete Tournament: If tournament is not finished for any reason, resolution follows the furthest completed round reached by Netherlands based on best available official information
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the stage at which Netherlands is eliminated or upon Netherlands winning the tournament. Final resolution deadline is tied to tournament completion or the August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET cutoff for postponement classification.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Netherlands is eliminated. If Netherlands wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Netherlands is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Netherlands based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Netherlands' stage of elimination is determined by the furthest point at which the team is knocked out of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. If Netherlands fails to advance from the Group Stage, that market resolves to Yes. If Netherlands advances past the Group Stage but is eliminated in the Round of 32, the Round of 32 market resolves to Yes, and so forth through the Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Final. A team that loses in the Semifinals resolves the Semifinals market to Yes regardless of third-place match results. If Netherlands withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified at any point, their stage of elimination is determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to such action—for example, withdrawal after a Round of 32 victory means the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes. If Netherlands wins the Final, the Outright Winner market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market odds for Netherlands' progression through the elimination stage of the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays real-time consensus pricing, historical odds movements, and trading volume to show how the market collectively prices Netherlands' chances of advancing through knockout rounds and potentially winning the tournament. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a cross-market view of sentiment and can identify pricing inefficiencies or shifts in trader confidence as the tournament approaches and unfolds.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets respond directly to supply and demand. For Netherlands' World Cup elimination stage prospects, market odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue processes new information faster. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand whether professional bettors or retail traders are driving current pricing.

Key catalysts include Netherlands' performance in World Cup qualifying and group stage matches, injury updates to star players, coaching changes, and head-to-head draws in the knockout bracket. Geopolitical or weather events affecting tournament logistics, shifts in betting syndicates' positioning, and real-time match results will all influence odds. Media narratives around Netherlands' form, tactical adjustments, and comparative strength assessments of potential opponents also drive trader sentiment and price movement on both Polymarket and Kalshi.