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404,744

Markets across

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2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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World Cup: Ivory Coast Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Ivory Coast Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$128,025

Round of 32

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,597
N/A
N/A
$19,451
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
$4,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,671
N/A
N/A
$4,872
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,130
N/A
N/A
$5,981
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,116
N/A
N/A
$4,357
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,243
N/A
N/A
$4,243
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which Ivory Coast is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they win the tournament. Both platforms resolve based on the furthest round Ivory Coast reaches, with Yes/Champion outcomes covering all elimination stages plus tournament victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical resolution logic: all elimination stages (Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final) and tournament victory resolve to Yes/Champion. Resolution is determined by the furthest completed round reached by Ivory Coast.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA sources (fifa.com) with fallback to consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Group Stage, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Round of 32, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Round of 16, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Quarterfinals, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Semifinals, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast is eliminated in Final, market resolves Yes/Champion
  • If Ivory Coast wins the Final, market resolves Yes/Champion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to Other. If partially completed, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by Ivory Coast.
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Ivory Coast is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by Ivory Coast at the time of disqualification/withdrawal.
  • No Advancement Beyond Group Stage: If Ivory Coast fails to advance from Group Stage, market resolves based on Group Stage elimination.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the match or round in which Ivory Coast is eliminated, or upon tournament conclusion if Ivory Coast wins. Final resolution deadline is tied to official FIFA tournament completion or August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if tournament is postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Ivory Coast is eliminated. If Ivory Coast wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Ivory Coast is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Ivory Coast based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

These markets track Ivory Coast's elimination stage throughout the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. A team is considered eliminated at the stage where it loses a match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified at any point, its elimination stage is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to such action—for example, if a team withdraws after winning a Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes since that would have been the next stage of competition. A team losing in the Semifinals resolves the Semifinals market to Yes regardless of third-place match results. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Ivory Coast wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for whether Ivory Coast will be eliminated during the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. It displays the consensus probability across both platforms, current bid-ask spreads, and recent volume metrics to help traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity. By tracking multiple venues simultaneously, you gain visibility into how different prediction market communities price Ivory Coast's tournament longevity and can identify arbitrage or consensus shifts as the tournament approaches.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and participant bases than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate sharp professional action and margin requirements, while prediction markets aggregate retail and sophisticated traders with varying time horizons. For Ivory Coast's group-stage elimination odds, prediction markets may price in longer-tail scenarios or show wider spreads during low-liquidity windows. Comparing both sources helps identify mispricings and understand whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on Ivory Coast's chances relative to bookmaker lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi serve distinct user bases, operate under different regulatory frameworks, and may have varying liquidity pools and fee structures. Polymarket's top outcome focuses on group-stage elimination specifically, while Kalshi's top outcome tracks overall World Cup victory—a fundamentally different question. Even when tracking the same event, differences in order-book depth, market maker participation, and trader sophistication can cause prices to diverge. Monitoring both platforms reveals which market is pricing Ivory Coast's prospects more efficiently and where informed traders may find edge.

Key catalysts include Ivory Coast's performance in qualifying matches, roster announcements and injury updates to star players, coaching changes, and draw results that determine their group opponents. Tournament seeding, strength of schedule, and head-to-head matchups against other group teams will significantly influence elimination risk. Media narratives around team form, internal conflicts, or managerial confidence can also shift trader sentiment. As the tournament approaches and group assignments are finalized, odds will reprice sharply based on competitive analysis and updated injury reports.