Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Core resolution logic:

• Resolution is determined by which country is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Men's 4 x 7.5 km Biathlon Relay.
• The resolution is based on the official result at the time of the medal/podium ceremony.
• Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the ceremony are not considered.
• On Kalshi, any of 20 listed countries (Sweden, Slovenia, Belgium, USA, Norway, France, Germany, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Latvia, Italy, Estonia, Czechia, Switzerland, Canada, Romania, Poland, Lithuania, Finland, Austria) resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No.
• On Polymarket, individual binary markets exist for each country, plus a catch-all 'someone else' market; exactly one will resolve Yes.
• If multiple countries are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket resolves in favor of the country whose name comes first alphabetically.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

• Event postponement or cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but would likely follow IOC guidance.
• No gold medal declared by deadline: If no gold medal has been declared within the March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline on Polymarket, the market resolves to Other.
• Tied gold medal: If multiple countries are awarded gold, Polymarket resolves in favor of the country whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
• Country disqualification or elimination: If a listed participant becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the event, Polymarket resolves to No for that participant. Kalshi treats any non-winning outcome as No.
• Placeholder countries on Polymarket: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) whose actual country assignments are not specified in the source data; these should be clarified before market launch to avoid ambiguity.