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Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay

Volume:
$201,936

France

 - Polymarket

France - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

France

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,442
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

France

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$6,559
$13,837
0%
0%
$9,211
N/A
kalshi

Norway

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,664
$21,268
0%
0%
$16,330
N/A
polymarket

Germany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,234
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Norway

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,371
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Switzerland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,710
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,602
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Czechia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,465
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sweden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,909
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Finland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,653
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Slovenia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,240
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ukraine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,200
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Canada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,194
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Estonia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,156
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kazakhstan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,610
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Sweden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$12,789
$3,367
0%
0%
$2,754
N/A
polymarket

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,252
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Belgium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,907
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bulgaria

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,890
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Lithuania

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,787
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Germany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$13,072
$1,735
0%
0%
$1,683
N/A
polymarket

Latvia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,707
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Romania

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,707
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Poland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,654
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

United States

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,134
$1,276
0%
0%
$1,276
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 57

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which country will win the gold medal in the Men's 4 x 7.5 km Biathlon Relay at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary or multiple-choice markets on this Olympic outcome, with resolution tied to the official medal ceremony result from the International Olympic Committee.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve on the same factual outcome: which country wins the gold medal in the Men's 4 x 7.5 km Biathlon Relay at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, as recorded by the IOC at the medal ceremony.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee official information (https://www.olympics.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by which country is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Men's 4 x 7.5 km Biathlon Relay.
  • The resolution is based on the official result at the time of the medal/podium ceremony.
  • Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the ceremony are not considered.
  • On Kalshi, any of 20 listed countries (Sweden, Slovenia, Belgium, USA, Norway, France, Germany, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Latvia, Italy, Estonia, Czechia, Switzerland, Canada, Romania, Poland, Lithuania, Finland, Austria) resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No.
  • On Polymarket, individual binary markets exist for each country, plus a catch-all 'someone else' market; exactly one will resolve Yes.
  • If multiple countries are awarded gold (tie), Polymarket resolves in favor of the country whose name comes first alphabetically.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event postponement or cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but would likely follow IOC guidance.
  • No gold medal declared by deadline: If no gold medal has been declared within the March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline on Polymarket, the market resolves to Other.
  • Tied gold medal: If multiple countries are awarded gold, Polymarket resolves in favor of the country whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
  • Country disqualification or elimination: If a listed participant becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the event, Polymarket resolves to No for that participant. Kalshi treats any non-winning outcome as No.
  • Placeholder countries on Polymarket: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) whose actual country assignments are not specified in the source data; these should be clarified before market launch to avoid ambiguity.
Timing: Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for the Men's 4 x 7.5 km Biathlon Relay at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. The deadline for resolution is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET on Polymarket; Kalshi does not specify an explicit deadline but aligns with the Olympic schedule.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.