TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan?

Volume:
$396,532

Ignacio Buse

 - Kalshi

Ignacio Buse - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 6:22 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ignacio Buse

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,304
N/A
N/A
$16,059
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arthur Fery

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,289
N/A
N/A
$8,099
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabian Marozsan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
$2,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Botic Van de Zandschulp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Benjamin Bonzi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
$663
Settled
No
kalshi

Martin Damm Jr

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
No
kalshi

Aleksandar Kovacevic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

James Duckworth

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
No
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sebastian Baez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$148
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
No
kalshi

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorenzo Sonego

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
No
kalshi

Rinky Hijikata

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Stefanos Tsitsipas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Altmaier

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luciano Darderi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mees Rottgering

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks whether Ignacio Buse will win the 2026 ATP Winston Salem tennis tournament. The aggregated consensus probability shows Buse winning at 99.0%, with Arthur Fery as the second outcome at 1.0%. Data comes from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the tournament results. The market will resolve on September 19, 2026, once the tournament concludes, so keep an eye on the final match results from that date to see who claims the title.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / SKU RiskHero tip: Be cautious with cross-platform hedging as Kalshi markets depend on tournament victory, while Polymarket markets depend on match progression outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Martin Damm' or 'Fabian Marozsan' based on match progression, with 50-50 split for cancellations or incomplete matches. Primary source is ATP Tour official information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either listed player wins the entire tournament. No match-specific resolution logic; depends solely on tournament outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Fabian Marozsan in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Luciano Darderi wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ignacio Buse wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Fery wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Baez wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Altmaier wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fabian Marozsan wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Botic Van de Zandschulp wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Duckworth wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rinky Hijikata wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorenzo Sonego wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Damm Jr wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Bonzi wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mees Rottgering wins the 2026 ATP Winston Salem professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Winston-Salem Open tennis match aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time consensus views and price movements. It tracks how traders on different venues price this event, reflecting collective expectations about the match outcome. You can see overall volume of $396,532 and recent 24-hour volume of $386,345, giving you a sense of market activity and interest as the tournament approaches.