TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a Wimbledon WTA doubles match between Starodubtseva/Stearns and Haverlag/Udvardy, scheduled for July 2, 2026. Multiple prediction markets track either the match winner or whether the match completes under normal play rules.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Starodubtseva/Stearns and Haverlag/Udvardy in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Starodubtseva/Stearns' if the team of Starodubtseva/Stearns advances against Haverlag/Udvardy. This market will resolve to 'Haverlag/Udvardy' if the team of Haverlag/Udvardy advances against Starodubtseva/Stearns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution depends on which team wins the match after play has begun. The market resolves Yes for whichever team achieves victory once a ball has been played in the match. If the match fails to occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes following the rescheduled match completion, provided this occurs within two weeks.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools naturally create price variation. Polymarket attracts global traders with lower barriers to entry, while Kalshi operates under US regulatory frameworks with different user incentives. Order book depth, recent trading volume, and the timing of large trades can shift odds independently across venues. Additionally, each platform's interface and notification systems may cause traders to react to information at different speeds, creating temporary arbitrage windows that sophisticated traders exploit.
Player injuries, recent form trends, and head-to-head records are primary catalysts for price movement. News of lineup changes, coaching adjustments, or surface-specific performance data can shift trader expectations significantly. Court conditions at Wimbledon, weather forecasts, and momentum from earlier rounds may also influence odds as the match approaches. Real-time match updates—such as set scores and momentum swings—will drive volatile repricing in the final hours before play. Monitoring player social media and official tournament communications can help traders anticipate market moves.