TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
A Wimbledon WTA first-round match between Claire Liu and Hanne Vandewinkel scheduled for June 29, 2026. Markets track both the match winner and whether the match is completed through normal play, with resolution tied to official WTA Tour records.
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Hanne Vandewinkel in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Hanne Vandewinkel. This market will resolve to 'Hanne Vandewinkel' if Hanne Vandewinkel advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Claire Liu" if Claire Liu defeats Hanne Vandewinkel in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Hanne Vandewinkel" if Hanne Vandewinkel defeats Claire Liu. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates independently with its own liquidity pool, user base, and fee structure. Limitless and Polymarket may attract traders with different risk appetites, information sets, or time horizons, causing temporary price misalignment. Platform-specific factors—such as withdrawal policies, interface design, or promotional incentives—can also shift order flow. These differences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit spreads, but gaps may persist if transaction costs or platform friction outweigh the profit opportunity. Monitoring both venues helps you identify when one platform is mispricing relative to the other.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match begins. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements for either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent performance data—tournament results, head-to-head records, or court-surface form—often influences trader positioning. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action on external sportsbooks can cascade into prediction market moves. Weather forecasts closer to match day may favor one player's style. Lineup changes in the broader tournament draw or scheduling shifts could also matter. Monitor official Wimbledon communications and sports news outlets for developments that reshape the competitive landscape.