TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 12:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Flavio Cobolli" if Flavio Cobolli defeats Arthur Fery in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026, 10:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Arthur Fery" if Arthur Fery defeats Flavio Cobolli. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
This market will resolve to "Flavio Cobolli" if Flavio Cobolli defeats Arthur Fery in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026, 10:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Arthur Fery" if Arthur Fery defeats Flavio Cobolli. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they're set by traders rather than oddsmakers. On this market, prices reflect real-time consensus from participants actively buying and selling shares, which can lead to different implied probabilities than you'd find at a sportsbook. Prediction markets sometimes price outcomes more efficiently when traders have strong conviction, while sportsbooks may adjust for their own risk management and margins. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants see value.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the current odds displayed prominently on the market page. As traders adjust their positions leading up to the match, the price discovery process reflects evolving expectations about the result, allowing you to enter or exit at market rates.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Wimbledon match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the match in regulation play. Resolution occurs automatically after the event is confirmed, and traders' positions settle based on the verified result. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or declared a no-contest under official tournament rules.
Several factors could shift odds on this market before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the players often influence trader sentiment. Injury reports, court surface conditions at Wimbledon, and pre-match news coverage can trigger significant price moves. Tournament momentum—how each player performs in earlier rounds—typically impacts confidence in their chances. Weather forecasts and official announcements about scheduling may also affect trading activity and perceived probabilities as the match date approaches.