TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:26 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Arthur Fery in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Arthur Fery in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional betting sites, especially if one venue has sharper or more active participants. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders see value relative to bookmakers, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than ground truth.
On Predict, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade, while the spread between the best bid and ask shows the current cost of immediate execution. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, prices adjust organically. Liquidity depth determines how much volume can be absorbed at or near the current price, so checking the order book before trading helps you anticipate slippage on larger positions.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—which player wins the contest. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on trader sentiment, betting patterns, and any developments affecting either competitor's form or fitness. After the event concludes, the winning outcome receives full payout and the losing outcome expires worthless.
Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before Jul 8, 2026. Injury reports or fitness updates on either player will trigger sharp repricing, as will recent match results and performance trends on grass courts. Betting action from professional syndicates or sharp money often precedes major moves. Weather forecasts closer to the event date may favor one player's style over the other. Tournament draws, seeding changes, or news about opponent matchups in earlier rounds can also sway sentiment. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary may amplify or dampen trader conviction as the event approaches.