TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 92
- Kalshi
Above 92 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 2, 2026
Closed: Nov 2, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the film *Wicker* will achieve a Tomatometer score above 45% on Rotten Tomatoes. Currently, the probability of this occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the Tomatometer score reported on Rotten Tomatoes, specifically as it appears on November 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Keep an eye on the film’s initial reviews following its release, as the Tomatometer score will be heavily influenced by critical reception in the lead up to the November 2, 2026 resolution date.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple markets, each tied to whether the film Wicker achieves a Tomatometer score exceeding specific thresholds (45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, and 90) by October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. All markets share a unified resolution process: the outcome is determined on the Monday following the film's wide release, based on the official Tomatometer score published by Rotten Tomatoes at the specified time. A market resolves as 'Yes' only if the film's score strictly surpasses the threshold defined for that market—for instance, a score of 75 would not satisfy the 'Above 75' market, as the requirement is strictly above the stated value. All markets explicitly disclaim any endorsement or affiliation with Rotten Tomatoes, clarifying that references to the platform are purely descriptive. The consistent structure across markets ensures clarity in how each threshold is evaluated against the final Tomatometer result.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds represent a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for 'Wicker'. While many analysts are offering preliminary reviews and box office projections, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to weigh various factors and express their beliefs about the final Rotten Tomatoes score. Discrepancies between the market and analyst opinions can highlight overlooked information or differing interpretations of available data, offering a unique insight into potential outcomes for the film’s reception.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official Rotten Tomatoes score for 'Wicker' is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the percentage of positive reviews received by the film, as calculated by Rotten Tomatoes. Traders will then be able to see which predictions proved most accurate and how the market collectively assessed the film’s critical reception leading up to its release.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Early reviews from film festivals or critics screenings will likely have a substantial impact, as will any major marketing campaigns or publicity surrounding 'Wicker'. Unexpected controversies or positive word-of-mouth could also shift trader sentiment. Box office performance during the opening weekend, while not directly part of the Rotten Tomatoes score, can influence perceptions and potentially affect trading activity in this market as well.
