TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 29, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Khalid will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, either during the live event or through a prior announcement. On Kalshi, the leading outcome stands at 49.0%, with the alternative outcome also at 49.0%. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation of Khalid's performance during the show's official event timeframe, as specified by the event organizers. Watch for announcements regarding the performer lineup leading up to the December 31, 2026 resolution date, as the show's official artist roster typically becomes public weeks or months before the event.
Kalshi
Each market outcome corresponds to a specific artist or band. If that artist performs at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe, the market resolves to Yes. A performance includes appearing on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and actively contributing musically through singing, rapping, playing instruments, DJing, or conducting. Performances can be solo, collaborative, guest appearances, medleys, satellite feeds, holographic displays, DJ sets, or pre-recorded segments presented as official performances. A performance that begins during the official timeframe but extends beyond it due to scheduling overrun counts. If the event is rescheduled within one year of the original date, performances at the rescheduled event count. Markets may resolve on announcement of a performance, and a later withdrawal does not affect resolution. Multiple artists may perform at the same event, so multiple markets can resolve Yes.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular performer. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that performer appearing at the show. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This creates a dynamic and efficient market for forecasting the event’s outcome, with prices changing based on new information and shifts in sentiment. The current volume indicates strong interest in several potential performers.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official performer lineup for the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 is publicly announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on which performers are confirmed to have appeared during the show. The resolution will be based on the official announcement and will not consider any preliminary or unconfirmed reports. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Announcements regarding the show's creative direction or theme could influence which artists are considered likely performers. News about potential artist availability, tour schedules, or collaborations could also shift the odds. Major award show appearances or album releases by potential performers could increase their visibility and, therefore, their chances in this market. Any official statements from Victoria's Secret regarding the show's performers will be a key catalyst, as will any credible leaks or reports from reputable entertainment news sources.
