TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.4b

24H VOL:

$104,871,197

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,592,701,755

469,827

Markets across

35,657

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,899

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What will Katie Zacharia say in the next press briefing?
🌟New
kalshi

What will Katie Zacharia say in the next press briefing?

Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$574
Volume 24h:
$317N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$574
35%

Trump (3+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (3+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Will the White House Press Secretary say Trump (3+ times) at her next press briefing?

92%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 91¢ buys you 110 shares | Odds: 92% Total Payout: $110 | Net Profit: $10 Multiplier: 1.10x | ROI: 10% | APY: 37% 109 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

Trade
92%
5%
Yes 91¢No 21¢
12¢
N/A
$88
159%
N/A
$88
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

China / Chinese

83%
Yes 76¢No 42¢
18¢
N/A
$18
0%
N/A
$18
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Russia / Ukraine

72%
Yes 75¢No 62¢
37¢
N/A
$14
0%
N/A
$14
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Fraud

67%
Yes 51¢No 60¢
11¢
N/A
$0
0%
N/A
$0
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

California

66%
Yes 65¢No 53¢
18¢
N/A
$60
0%
N/A
$60
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

63%
Yes 71¢No 46¢
17¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

63%
Yes 64¢No 70¢
34¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Nuclear

48%
Yes 56¢No 56¢
12¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Venezuela

34%
Yes 50¢No 64¢
14¢
N/A
$55
0%
N/A
$55
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

5%
Yes 13¢No 98¢
11¢
N/A
$5
0%
N/A
$5
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Event does not qualify/occur

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$199
89%
N/A
$199
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

1%
Yes 11¢No 99¢
10¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
$10
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Election / Midterm

N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Economy / Economic

N/A
N/A
14¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

N/A
N/A
22¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Border

N/A
N/A
25¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Inflation

N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Biden

N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Democrat

N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Tariff

N/A
N/A
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

America First

N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Fentanyl

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

ICE

N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Illegal Alien

N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Leavitt

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w 5d
active
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event tracks whether specific phrases will be mentioned during the next White House Press Briefing, focusing on politically and economically relevant topics. The resolution depends on the official broadcast or stream of the briefing, ensuring transparency and real-time verification.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each centered around whether the White House Press Secretary utters a specific phrase during the next official press briefing. Each market defines a particular phrase or set of related terms (e.g., "Trump," "Election," "Economy"). The market resolves to "Yes" if the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, is spoken during the live, televised, or streamed briefing. Verification is conducted using the live broadcast; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. Grammatical variations or inflections do not count, and only statements made in an official capacity during the briefing qualify. Private conversations, hot mic incidents, archival footage, or unaired content are excluded from consideration. The event specifically excludes gaggles—informal gatherings distinct from formal briefings—ensuring only formal addresses are evaluated.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Katie Zacharia briefing market dashboard displays the current odds for various potential statements made by the White House Press Secretary. You’ll find a price history chart showing how those odds have fluctuated over time, giving insight into trader sentiment. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $317, and the total volume traded to date, which is $574. This allows you to gauge the level of interest in this market and how actively it’s being traded.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market quantifies expectations about specific statements from Katie Zacharia. If analysts widely anticipate a certain topic to be addressed, we’d expect to see higher prices for related outcomes in this market. However, discrepancies can emerge, potentially indicating that traders possess information or perspectives not fully captured by traditional analysis. It is important to remember that this market reflects what traders believe will happen, not necessarily what analysts predict.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that statement being made. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi interface, allowing traders to assess the available liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Feb 1, 2027, following the next White House press briefing with Katie Zacharia. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the briefing, verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome(s) corresponding to statements actually made by the Press Secretary during the briefing, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor news coverage and official sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event and potential settlement.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any indication of a shift in White House policy priorities, or a major news event related to topics frequently addressed by the Press Secretary, could influence trader behavior. Pre-briefing statements or leaks regarding the intended focus of the briefing would also be impactful. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical developments could also prompt traders to reassess the likelihood of certain statements being made, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding market movements.