TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective when compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the top global Netflix movie. While analysts often rely on pre-release buzz, critical reception, and star power, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting real-time betting behavior. Discrepancies between the two can highlight situations where the market perceives a different level of public interest than experts do, or anticipates a stronger (or weaker) response to a film’s release. It's a fascinating way to gauge collective expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each movie’s likelihood of topping the charts. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that movie winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The higher the demand for a particular movie’s shares, the higher its price, and the greater its implied chance of success.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most popular global Netflix movie for the week of October 27th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking global streaming statistics. The market will settle to 100% for the movie that achieves the highest viewership during that specific week, as determined by the publicly available data.
Several signals could significantly shift the odds in this market. A surprise positive or negative critical reception for a newly released film could drive substantial trading activity. Unexpected marketing pushes or viral social media trends surrounding a particular movie could also influence the market. Furthermore, the release of official viewership numbers for the first few days of the week could provide early indications of which films are gaining traction, prompting traders to adjust their positions accordingly. Any major news or events related to the featured films could also play a role.
