TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on pre-release buzz, critic reviews, and historical performance, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, reacting to real-time viewership data and changing consumer preferences. Discrepancies can arise if analysts underestimate the impact of social media trends or viral marketing campaigns, factors that traders in this market quickly account for. It’s common to see shifts in probabilities as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions, potentially outperforming traditional predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top global Netflix movie for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on Netflix’s official rankings or data from a widely recognized third-party source tracking global viewership. The market will settle to 100% for the movie that achieves the highest ranking based on these metrics. Traders should monitor official announcements from Netflix or reputable entertainment news outlets as the resolution date approaches to understand the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Unexpectedly strong or weak reviews of newly released movies could shift trader sentiment. Major marketing pushes or viral social media campaigns for specific titles could also drive volume and price changes. Additionally, any news regarding Netflix’s content strategy or viewership trends could influence predictions. A surprise new release from a popular franchise or a highly anticipated original film could quickly become a frontrunner, causing substantial movement in the probabilities associated with different outcomes.
