TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 3)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the top global Netflix movie?

Total volume:
$10,125
Volume 24h:
$1,169
8%
Liquidity:
$2,596
3%
Open interest:
$2,591
19%

Animals

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 22h:40m:12s

Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.7¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.3% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Animals

Trade
99%
Yes 99.7¢No 2.7¢
2.4¢
$236
$6,794
10%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
kalshi

Animals

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,030
68%
N/A
$776
8h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
98.5%
Yes 99.9¢No 51.4¢
Avg: 51.2¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Trade
0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$388
$55
0%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
polymarket

Surviving Hurricane Otis

Trade
0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$411
$55
0%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
polymarket

Sacrifice

Trade
0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$395
$55
0%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
polymarket

Armored

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.9¢
0.5¢
$401
$96
72%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
polymarket

You, Me, Us

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.9¢
0.5¢
$385
$95
73%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
polymarket

Gladiator II

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$380
$86
54%
N/A
N/A
22h 40m
Active
kalshi

Corpse Bride

Trade
5%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$108
0%
N/A
$93
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 2: The Meltdown

Trade
4%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185
0%
N/A
$174
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

From: Season 1

Trade
3%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191
0%
N/A
$187
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Nobody Wants This: Season 3

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$197
0%
N/A
$182
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

UNABOMBER

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$172
0%
N/A
$172
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$169
0%
N/A
$169
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167
0%
N/A
$167
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166
0%
N/A
$166
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 5: Collision Course

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165
0%
N/A
$165
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Anyone But You

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164
0%
N/A
$164
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Doing Life

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90
14%
N/A
$90
8h 41m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 4: Continental Drift

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87
0%
N/A
$86
8h 41m
Active
Total markets: 20

Description

This prediction market asks forecasters to predict which movie will be ranked #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 list for movies, as reported on November 3, 2026. The ranking is based on total viewing hours and is sourced directly from Netflix's published charts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets are limited to a predefined list of movies, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option for any movie not explicitly listed.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of a movie outside of Kalshi's listed options topping the charts. Polymarket's 'Other' option provides coverage for this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the #1 movie on Netflix's Global Top 10 list, including an 'Other' option if a non-listed movie ranks #1. "If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes only if one of the 13 specifically listed movies is ranked #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on November 3, 2026. No 'Other' option exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specific movie appears in the top position of Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending the Sunday before November 3, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix updates its charts on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET on Monday, November 2, 2026. None of these markets imply any endorsement from Netflix, which is mentioned only for descriptive clarity. The resolution hinges solely on the objective ranking published by Netflix on the specified date.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks predictions about which movie will be the most popular globally on Netflix this week. The dashboard aggregates trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the leading contenders. Currently, volume across both platforms totals $10,125, with $1,155 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive look at the global Netflix movie market and how traders are assessing the potential success of different titles. The current spread between the top two outcomes is 2.5.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts frequently rely on pre-release buzz, star power, and genre trends, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict actual viewership. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when a dark horse candidate gains traction with audiences. The real-time nature of this market allows it to adapt quickly to new information, potentially outperforming static analyst predictions. It’s a valuable tool for understanding public sentiment and gauging the potential success of films.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? at 98.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Animals be Top Global Netflix Movie on Nov 2, 2026? at 96.0%. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple platforms to gain a more robust understanding of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the top global Netflix movie for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on Netflix's official rankings, reflecting the total hours viewed for each movie during the specified period. The market’s outcome reflects the most-watched movie globally, as determined by Netflix’s internal data and publicly released figures. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. A surprise marketing push from Netflix for a particular film, positive (or negative) critical reviews, and social media trends can all influence trader behavior. Unexpected events, such as a major celebrity appearance in a movie or a viral clip, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, the release of competing films on other streaming platforms or in theaters could affect viewership and, consequently, the outcome of this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.