TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on pre-release hype or historical performance, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and real-time reactions to news and trends. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the ability of the market to quickly adjust to new data. It’s common to see this market outperform traditional predictions, particularly in dynamic areas like entertainment where unexpected hits can emerge.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ranking of Netflix shows is verifiable from credible public reporting. The show holding the number two position globally, as determined by Netflix’s official data and reported by reliable media outlets, will be considered the winning outcome. The resolution will reflect the show’s ranking for the week commencing October 27, providing a definitive answer to which series captures the second-most viewership on the streaming platform worldwide.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Unexpected critical acclaim or negative reviews for newly released shows could quickly shift trader sentiment. Major marketing pushes or social media trends surrounding specific series could also influence the odds. Furthermore, any news regarding viewership numbers or Netflix’s internal rankings, even if unofficial, could trigger price adjustments. Finally, unexpected schedule changes or the release of highly anticipated content could disrupt the current predictions within this market.
