TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:55 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on viewership numbers and critical reception, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and potential surprises. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions about audience preferences, the impact of social media buzz, or unexpected releases. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially outperforming static analyst predictions in its accuracy. Comparing this market to external forecasts can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on publicly available data regarding the top ten most-watched shows on Netflix globally for the relevant week. The show ranked number two will be considered the outcome of this market. Resolution relies on verifying data from reliable sources that track Netflix viewership, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Unexpected announcements regarding new show releases or promotional campaigns by Netflix could shift viewership patterns. A surge in social media attention for a particular series, driven by viral trends or critical acclaim, could also influence the market. Major news events or cultural moments that align with a show's themes might also attract more viewers. Finally, any changes in Netflix’s reporting methodology or the availability of viewership data could introduce uncertainty and volatility into this market.
