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419,363

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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (November 3)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the #2 Netflix movie this week?

Total volume:
$651
Volume 24h:
$142
62%
Liquidity:
$417
30%
Open interest:
$546
24%

You, Me, Us

 - Polymarket

You, Me, Us - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:02h:01m

Will "You, Me, Us" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 10¢ buys you 1,000 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,000 | Net Profit: $900 Multiplier: 10.00x | ROI: 900% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

You, Me, Us

Trade
6%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
$119
$33
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
polymarket

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Trade
6%
40%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
$38
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
kalshi

Animals

Trade
9%
Yes 7¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$27
0%
N/A
$27
12h 2m
Active
polymarket

Animals

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 7.4¢No 99¢
6.4¢
$88
$45
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 7.2¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 6.7¢Max: 7¢
kalshi

Anyone But You

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$310
0.51%
N/A
$309
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

UNABOMBER

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$111
2%
N/A
$108
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 5: Collision Course

Trade
1%
Yes 91¢No 100¢
91¢
N/A
$105
0%
N/A
$103
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Doing Life

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Corpse Bride

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 4: Continental Drift

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
kalshi

Ice Age 2: The Meltdown

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
12h 2m
Active
polymarket

Gladiator II

Trade
49%
Yes 94¢No 97¢
91¢
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
polymarket

Surviving Hurricane Otis

Trade
6%
4%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
polymarket

Armored

Trade
47%
Yes 92¢No 99¢
91¢
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
polymarket

Sacrifice

Trade
6%
43%
Yes 10¢No 98.9¢
8.9¢
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 1m
Active
Total markets: 17

Description

This prediction market asks forecasters to identify which movie will be the second-highest-ranked film on Netflix's global Top 10 movies list for the week of November 3, 2026. The ranking is based on total views reported by Netflix, with ties broken alphabetically.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a discrete list of potential outcomes, while Polymarket includes an 'Other' option and a broader set of individual movie questions, creating a scope difference.Hero tip: Consider the 'Other' option on Polymarket if you believe a movie not listed on Kalshi might take the #2 spot, or if the Netflix update is delayed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the movie ranked #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart, with ties broken alphabetically. Includes an 'Other' option if the update doesn't occur by November 6, 2026. "This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if any of the specifically listed movies is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart on Nov 3, 2026. "If Animals is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated movie appears in the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on November 3, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. All markets explicitly state that neither Netflix nor Kalshi endorses these speculative products, and any references to Netflix are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks predictions about which movie will be the number two most-watched film globally on Netflix during the week of November 3. The dashboard aggregates trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the likely outcome. Currently, the combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $651, indicating significant interest in forecasting this entertainment event. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of sentiment surrounding the global Netflix movie market and potential frontrunners.

Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically rely on historical data, studio marketing spend, and critical reception to predict viewership. However, this market harnesses the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including social media buzz, word-of-mouth, and even early viewing data. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the collective intelligence of the market can identify subtle signals that analysts might miss. The current volume of $207 demonstrates active trading and evolving sentiment.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? at 48.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Animals be #2 Global Netflix Movie on Nov 2, 2026? at 9.0%. These discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information access and interpretation among traders on each platform. Furthermore, the trading interfaces and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the implied probabilities reflected in the market prices.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on publicly available viewership data from Netflix, identifying the movie that ranks as number two globally during the specified week. The outcome will be determined by independent verification of the data, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor reliable sources for updates on Netflix’s top 10 lists as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential impact on this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 4, 2026. Unexpected critical reviews or viral social media campaigns for potential contenders could shift trader sentiment. Netflix's own promotional efforts, including featured placement on the platform, will also be a key driver. Any news regarding release dates or availability in major international markets could also move the odds. Finally, early viewership data released by third-party tracking services could provide valuable insights and trigger significant trading activity in this market.