TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:47 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Episode 36 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 18, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
Episode 36 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 18, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional punditry, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and viewpoints. While analysts may focus on pre-show publicity or contestant histories, the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of individuals actively putting their capital at risk. This can lead to divergences, where the market assigns a higher or lower probability to certain outcomes than initially predicted by experts focusing on the show’s narrative.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific statement will be said during Big Brother Episode 36. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning increased buying pressure drives the price up, increasing the implied probability, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating assessment of expectations surrounding the episode’s content.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the episode airs and the statements made during Big Brother Episode 36 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the official broadcast to determine whether each statement included in the market was actually uttered by a cast member. The market will settle to 100% for any statement confirmed to have been said and 0% for any statement not said during the episode, based on the available broadcast footage.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 18, 2026. Unexpected pre-episode promotional clips revealing potential storylines or contestant conflicts could shift probabilities. Major events occurring within the Big Brother house leading up to Episode 36, such as dramatic arguments or surprising alliances, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news or social media buzz surrounding specific contestants or potential topics of conversation could impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions regarding the episode’s content.
