This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Western Michigan Broncos and Buffalo Bulls scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution rule contains a logical contradiction: both a Buffalo win and a Western Michigan win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic (one winner, one loser).
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the rule is clarified. The market cannot resolve if both outcomes map to the same result. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary sports outcome. Western Michigan win resolves to Western Michigan Broncos; Buffalo win resolves to Buffalo Bulls. Final score including overtime determines result. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Contradictory dual YES mapping. States both Buffalo win and Western Michigan win resolve to Yes. This violates binary market logic and makes resolution impossible. Key quote: 'If Buffalo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Michigan wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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