TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 5:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a scheduled UFC fight between Wesley Schultz and Jackson McVey set for August 22, 2026. It focuses on how many rounds the fight lasts, specifically whether it concludes early. The result depends on the actual duration of the bout when it takes place.
The event involves two primary rules that determine the resolution based on the number of rounds in which the fight concludes. If the fight ends before round 2, the first rule applies and the market resolves accordingly. If the fight ends before round 3, the second rule applies and the market resolves accordingly. Both rules share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The outcome hinges solely on the actual round in which the fight concludes, with the two primary conditions providing layered resolution criteria for early endings.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and any new developments that could affect the perceived likelihood of each possible finish, capturing the real-time sentiment of Kalshi users.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official recording of how the fight concludes, and once that information is widely reported, the market will close and pay out according to the pre-set conditions.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media coverage, trainer or fighter comments, injury updates, changes in betting volumes on related markets, and any last-minute developments such as weight misses or rule changes. Each of these can alter trader perceptions and drive price adjustments as the event draws nearer.