TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Sydney FC
Volume:
$165,776
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Sydney FC A-League soccer match scheduled for February 28, 2026. The markets ask whether Wellington will win, Sydney will win, or the match will end in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation (with no make-up game) resolves across the three outcome markets. Kalshi omits cancellation rules; Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (Yes for draw, No for wins).Hero Tip:
Confirm match status at settlement. If canceled: Polymarket draw resolves Yes, Polymarket wins resolve No, Kalshi outcome is undefined. If played: all platforms resolve based on 90-minute + stoppage result. Monitor A-League official sources for postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Wellington win (Yes if Wellington wins, No otherwise), Sydney win (Yes if Sydney wins, No otherwise), and draw (Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no make-up). All measure 90 minutes + stoppage time only. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up triggers asymmetric resolution.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a unified set: each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs in the 90-minute + stoppage period. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all three markets resolve Yes if the match is played, but cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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