TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of a specific music release during its first week of availability, measuring how widely it is consumed online. The focus is on quantifying audience engagement through streaming numbers over a defined period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the song "Watch Dis" by Yung Miami achieves various streaming milestones within the U.S. during the tracking week of October 23, 2026, to October 29, 2026. All markets resolve based on data reported by Luminate’s API at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not endorse or influence market outcomes. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from above 1 million to above 20 million streams); if the reported streams meet or exceed the threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional media predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of factors and real-time information. While analysts may focus on pre-release hype and marketing campaigns, the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked aspects or biases in either approach, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential streaming success.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding the first week streaming numbers for the shows in question. The exact methodology for determining the winning outcome will be based on the most viewed shows within the first seven days of release, as reported by Watch Dis or a trusted third-party source. The final outcome will be determined by the data available at that time.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Watch Dis regarding show releases, marketing campaigns, or subscriber numbers could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected critical reception – positive or negative reviews – could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any news related to competitor streaming services or broader trends in the entertainment industry could influence how traders assess the potential success of these shows. Strong social media buzz or viral marketing could also be a catalyst for price movement in this market.
