TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the first quarter of a college football game between Wake Forest and Louisville. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Wake Forest vs Louisville college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the same information. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional betting lines. Comparing these can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the total score in the first quarter being over or under a certain number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market considers a fair value. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the first quarter between Wake Forest and Louisville will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics released by the relevant sports authorities. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is verified. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or Louisville would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.