TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 9:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stamatova and Valeria Garnevska in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stamatova' if Julia Stamatova advances against Valeria Garnevska. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Julia Stamatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stamatova and Valeria Garnevska in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stamatova' if Julia Stamatova advances against Valeria Garnevska. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Julia Stamatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match, determining which player, Julia Stamatova or Valeria Garnevska, won the match. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual outcome of the match at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even general tennis news impacting player confidence, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could cause short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into how the market is reacting to new information regarding the W50 Plovdiv tennis match.