TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oceane Babel and Anna Petkovic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Anna Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Anna Petkovic' if Anna Petkovic advances against Oceane Babel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oceane Babel and Anna Petkovic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Anna Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Anna Petkovic' if Anna Petkovic advances against Oceane Babel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently or has access to unique insights. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Babel vs Petkovic match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Oceane Babel and Anna Petkovic. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Oceane Babel or Anna Petkovic could significantly impact the market. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential traders or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in other sources, could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 24, 2026.