TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Federica Bilardo vs Martina Colmegna
- Polymarket
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Federica Bilardo vs Martina Colmegna - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 7:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Bilardo and Martina Colmegna in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Bilardo' if Federica Bilardo advances against Martina Colmegna. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Federica Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Bilardo and Martina Colmegna in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Bilardo' if Federica Bilardo advances against Martina Colmegna. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Federica Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the bookmakers, or that one venue has identified a mispricing opportunity. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to gauge differing perspectives on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Federica Bilardo and Martina Colmegna. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the market. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also serve as catalysts for price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market price.