TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Marianna Argyrokastriti in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Marianna Argyrokastriti. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Argyrokastriti' if Marianna Argyrokastriti advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Marianna Argyrokastriti in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Marianna Argyrokastriti. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Argyrokastriti' if Marianna Argyrokastriti advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the price. Observing these differences can be valuable for identifying potential value or mispricing in either market, and understanding where public sentiment diverges from expert opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly updates to incorporate new information and changing perspectives on the Cortez Llorca vs Argyrokastriti match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cortez Llorca vs Argyrokastriti match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Lucia Cortez Llorca or Marianna Argyrokastriti might also impact expectations. Additionally, any significant public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.