TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Beatrise Zeltina in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Beatrise Zeltina. This market will resolve to 'Beatrise Zeltina' if Beatrise Zeltina advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Beatrise Zeltina in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Beatrise Zeltina. This market will resolve to 'Beatrise Zeltina' if Beatrise Zeltina advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the event. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific player winning the Hesse vs Zeltina match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Amandine Hesse versus Beatrise Zeltina match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market. The final result will dictate which shares pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Any information that alters the assessment of either player's chances of winning is likely to trigger trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook.