TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Nagi Hanatani in the W15 Yeongwol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kisa Yoshioka' if Kisa Yoshioka advances against Nagi Hanatani. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Kisa Yoshioka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Nagi Hanatani in the W15 Yeongwol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kisa Yoshioka' if Kisa Yoshioka advances against Nagi Hanatani. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Kisa Yoshioka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers pushing the price up and sellers pushing it down.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the W15 Yeongwol tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Nagi Hanatani. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, might also impact trading volume and price. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, especially if it deviates from the initial market assessment. Monitoring these signals can help traders anticipate potential movements.