TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 8:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Sveva Sveva Fumagalli in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Sveva Sveva Fumagalli. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Sveva Fumagalli' if Sveva Sveva Fumagalli advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Sveva Sveva Fumagalli in the W15 Viserba di Rimini, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Sveva Sveva Fumagalli. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Sveva Fumagalli' if Sveva Sveva Fumagalli advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly in situations where public perception deviates from expert analysis. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into market sentiment surrounding the Gasparini vs Fumagalli match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Gasparini vs Fumagalli match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, reflecting the aggregate judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Gasparini vs Fumagalli match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The resolution will be based on which player won the match, or if the match ended in a draw. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on established sporting results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can sometimes trigger follow-on buying or selling, amplifying the effect of initial information. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in market sentiment surrounding the Gasparini vs Fumagalli match.